Intelligence, Surprise, Threats

Varieties of intelligence

Economic

Social

Political

Military

The Intelligence Community

Purposes of Intelligence

To learn about

Capabilities

Weaknesses

Plans—Strategic and tactical

Intentions

Events

Sources of intelligence

Open and otherwise

Humint

Sigint

Imagery

Elint
 
 

Intelligence Failure—Why?

Inadequate resources

Preconceptions

Misinterpretation,disbelief,denial

Preoccupation

Overload

Misinformation,successful deception

And so Surprise!

Threats—

Terrorist attacks

Asymetrical warfare

Wars for resources

Ethnic and nationalist conflicts

Nuclear proliferation

The U.S. response

Counter threat

To do what? Credible?

Diplomacy

Force in support of diplomacy

Pre emption