WashU Expert: The biggest upset since … 1936?

For political prognosticators, the 2016 presidential campaign has emerged as the most egregious “wrong call” since incumbent President Harry S. Truman defeated New York Gov. Thomas E. Dewey in 1948.

“In 1960, the Kennedy vs. Nixon contest also was a nail-biter,” said presidential historian Peter Kastor, chair of history in Arts & Sciences at Washington University in St. Louis. “But unlike the 2016 election, many people had predicted a close election and weren’t assuming a Nixon victory in the way that people were predicting a victory for Hillary Clinton. 

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